Weekly Economic Review | May 19–25, 2025

AppGear Capital

Canada – Markets, Housing & Trade

Index Weekly Move
S&P/TSX Composite –1.85 %
S&P/TSX 60 –1.70 %
Key Points
  • Mortgage Renewals Surge: ~60 % of mortgages reset in 2025-26; households that locked ultra-low pandemic rates face payment shocks.
  • Trade Uncertainty: BoC warns a prolonged tariff fight with the U.S. could slow growth, lift unemployment and raise credit-loss risks for banks.
  • Private-Debt Flow: 6 May – Énergir placed C$300 m of 30-yr first-mortgage bonds @ 4.65 %, showing deep demand for long IG paper.
  • Equity Sentiment: Materials & industrials led the slide on softer commodities and tariff angst.
Take-away: Mortgage resets + trade friction cloud Canada’s outlook; BoC guidance is pivotal for credit spreads and household finances.

U.S. – Moody’s Cut & Tariff Fears

Index / Yield Weekly Move Note
S&P 500 –2.61 % Rating cut hits risk sentiment
Nasdaq –2.39 % Apple sell-off drags tech
Dow Jones –2.47 % Broad industrial weakness
10-Yr Treasury 4.50 % (+1.43 bp) Yields rise on deficit worries
Stocks in Focus
Ticker Weekly Move Highlights
Apple (AAPL)  –7.5 % 25 % iPhone-tariff threat + legal headwinds (search deal, App Store)
Alphabet (GOOGL)  +1.4 % Google I/O AI launches (Gemini 2.5 Pro, AI mode, AR glasses) lift sentiment
Why It Matters
  • Mortgage resets may squeeze Canadian consumer spending.
  • Tariff deadlock + Moody’s cut widen credit spreads and pressure risk assets on both sides of the border.
  • Central-bank signals will steer borrowing costs and market direction into summer 2025.

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