Weekly Markets Brief | August 1-8, 2025

AppGear Capital

Canada – Debt, Mortgages & Stock Market

Index Weekly Change Note
S&P/TSX Composite 2.7% Strongest weekly gain since September; led by financials & materials.
S&P/TSX 60 2.6% Broad large-cap advance signals stronger confidence in leaders.
Key News – Debt & Mortgages
  • 10-Yr GoC Yield: Steady around 3.39% — a small dip that slightly eases market financing costs.
  • Mortgage Renewal Wave (2025–26): ~60% of mortgages set to renew. Fixed-rate payments may rise ~10% (2025) and ~6% (2026) vs. Dec-2024; variable-rate borrowers could see ~5%–7% lower payments.
  • Labour Data & Rates: July jobs –40,800 lifted odds of a September BoC cut from 33% → 38%, potentially easing credit and mortgage conditions.
  • Rentals Cooling: Average asking rent in July fell 3.6% YoY to $2,121 — 10th straight monthly decline.

United States – Positive Markets, Mixed Services Data & Strong Tech Prints

Index / Yield Move Note
S&P 500 2.43% Tariff relief for tech/semis lifts sentiment
Nasdaq 3.87% Tech & chips lead
Dow Jones 1.35% Moderate industrial gains
10-Yr UST 4.28% Yields rose over the week
Weekly Highlights – U.S.
  • Tariff relief for tech/semis: Firms committing to invest and manufacture in the U.S. get customs breaks — tailwind for sector stocks.
  • S&P Global Services PMI (Jul): Up to 55.7 — fast expansion in services (finance, health, tourism).
  • Bonds: 10-year yield climbed to 4.28% — markets price “higher for longer.”
Stocks in Focus – Quarterly Reports / Company News
Ticker Weekly Move Headline
AAPL +13.3% Expanding U.S. manufacturing at scale; benefits from tariff relief and stronger domestic supply chains.
PLTR +21.2% Record quarter (~$1B revenue), large U.S. government deals; raised full-year guidance.
NVDA +5.1% New high; key partner for OpenAI’s GPT-5, growing hardware orders and potential perks for U.S. production.
Why It Matters
  • Canada: Yields dipped and rents cooled — supporting a BoC cut — but the 2025–26 renewal wave means many will face higher fixed payments. Budget ahead and compare fixed vs. variable.
  • United States: Tariff relief boosts U.S. manufacturing and tech, but higher yields keep borrowing costs up. With services firm and AI leaders in front, markets stay data-dependent on the Fed.

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