Weekly Markets Brief | August 11-15, 2025

AppGear Capital

Canada — Debt, Mortgages & Housing

Index Weekly Change Quick Note
S&P/TSX Composite –1.7% Declines on tariff worries and global volatility.
S&P/TSX 60 –1% Pressure mainly on banks and industrials.
Key News – Debt & Mortgages
  • 10-Year GoC yield: Around ~3.5% → fixed mortgage rates remain high.
  • Bank of Canada: Kept the policy rate at 2.75% (Jul 30) → variable mortgages unchanged for now; focus shifts to the September decision.
  • Mortgage renewals 2025–26: About 60% will renew; most monthly payments likely up ~8–10% in 2025.
  • Housing market: Supply is rising; fewer than 500,000 sales expected in 2025; prices relatively stable.

United States – Positive Markets, Mixed Services Data & Strong Tech Prints

Index / Yield Move Note
S&P 500 +0.94% Steady inflation supported gains
Nasdaq +0.81% Tech led the move
Dow Jones +1.74% Industrials strengthened
10-Yr UST 4.32% Small uptick in yields
Weekly Highlights – U.S.
  • Inflation (CPI): 2.7% in July — steady and slightly better than expected.
  • Producer Prices (PPI): 3.3% — supply-side price pressure persists.
  • Retail Sales: +3.92% YoY — still rising, but at a slower pace.
  • Chip Tariffs: Talk of increases could raise costs for tech companies.
Stocks in Focus – Quarterly Reports / Company News
Ticker Weekly Move Headline
AMZN +3.75% Expanding fresh-grocery deliveries; strengthens competition with big retailers.
UNH +21.1% Large Berkshire Hathaway purchase lifted sentiment.
LLY +12.0% Overseas price updates for Mounjaro supported growth.
Why It Matters
  • Canada: Steady GoC yields and a BoC hold give borrowers welcome breathing room — early planning for 2025–26 renewals can keep payments manageable, while Canada’s strong credit profile and active trade diplomacy support exporters and help keep credit spreads anchored.

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