Weekly Markets Brief | June 1 – 8, 2025

AppGear Capital

Canada – Market, Housing & Mortgages

Index Weekly Move
S&P/TSX Composite +0.97 %
S&P/TSX 60 +0.58 %
Market Highlights
  • BoC on Hold (4 Jun): The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate at 2.75 % and signalled a “wait-and-see” approach—variable-rate mortgage costs remain unchanged for the summer.
  • Bond-Yield Spike (6 Jun): The 10-yr Government of Canada yield touched 3.34 %, a two-week high—raising bank funding costs and pressuring 5-yr fixed mortgage rates.
  • CMHC Buyer Survey (3 Jun): 79 % of first-time buyers still view homeownership as a “good investment,” and 74 % believe they locked a “good rate”—supporting demand for insured mortgages and CMHC-backed MBS issuance.

U.S. – Jobs Beat, Tariff-Truce Talk & Stock Rotation

Index / Yield Weekly Move Note
S&P 500 1.5 % Payroll beat + easing trade tone
Nasdaq 1.97 % Tech rebound leads gains
Dow Jones 1.17 % Broad industrial strength
10-Yr Treasury 4.505 % (+2.45 bp) Yields edge higher on growth hopes

Market Highlights – U.S.

  • Non-farm Payrolls: 139 k jobs added in May (vs 126 k exp.)—signals moderate growth and a controlled cooldown in hiring.
  • ISM Services (May): Index surged to 53.7 from 50.8—clear acceleration in the economy’s largest sector.
  • Tariff “Cease-fire” Talk: Trump floated easing China-U.S. tensions, tempering tariff fears and supporting sentiment.
Stocks in Focus
Ticker Weekly Move Highlights
TSLA -14.8 % Trump–Musk clash; threat to federal contracts drove shares to a two-month low
META +7.8 % Unveiled AI-driven auto-ad tool; heavy AI capex boosts long-term monetization, though brands weigh control concerns
Why It Matters
  • Canada: Rising bond yields and a massive mortgage-renewal wave threaten consumer budgets and credit spreads; BoC and CMHC remain key stabilizers.
  • United States: Positive jobs data and service-sector strength lift equities, but faster wage growth and tariff rhetoric keep inflation and Fed timing in focus.

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