Weekly Markets Brief | Oct 26-Nov 2, 2025

AppGear Capital

Canada — Debt, Mortgages & Markets

Key Canadian Market Indexes
Index / Yield Move Note
S&P/TSX Composite ▲ +0.27% Late-week bounce as buyers stepped back in after choppy trading.
S&P/TSX 60 ▲ +0.30% Large caps held firm; banks and mega-tech provided support.
10-Yr GoC Bond Yield ▲ +2.7% Yields drifted higher; fixed-rate mortgage quotes stayed sticky.
Key News – Debt & Mortgages
  • The Bank of Canada has initiated a careful cycle of rate cuts, lowering the policy rate to 2.25%, while carefully balancing monetary easing with concerns about inflation and economic growth.
  • Mortgage markets see a balance between fixed and variable rates as borrowers adjust choices amid rate changes.
  • Housing market remains relatively steady amid supply constraints and price moderation.
  • The housing market remains stable with slight home price increases in key provinces.

United States — Weekly Wrap

Key U.S. Market Indexes
Index / Yield Move Note
S&P 500 ▲ +0.71% Rate-cut optimism broadened.
Nasdaq ▲ +2.24% AI momentum revived.
Dow Jones ▲ +0.75% Cyclicals found modest support.
10-Yr Treasury Yield ▼ 4.08% Yields declined, supporting sentiment.
Macro – Weekly Highlights
  • Fed Rate Cut: Federal Reserve reduced the policy rate by 25 bps to 4.00% — its second cut in a row, maintaining a data-dependent stance.
  • Geopolitics: A positive Trump–Xi meeting eased trade tensions and supply-chain concerns, improving global sentiment.
Stocks in Focus – Quick Headlines
Ticker Move Headline
PLTR ▲ +6.1% Revenue topped $1B (+48% YoY); U.S. commercial segment up 93%, with strong AIP-driven growth.
NVDA ▲ +8.7% Hit new all-time high after GTC; forecasts $500B+ in AI-chip sales by 2026 and new quantum partnerships.
Why It Matters
  • Canada: Softer GoC yields and a stronger CAD help affordability and raise BoC-cut odds as 2025–26 renewals approach—good for sentiment, but households should still compare fixed vs. variable and budget for bumps.
  • United States: Cooling jobs and lower yields boost chances of Fed cuts—supporting growth and tech—while a friendlier antitrust climate and big AI orders keep money flowing to chips and cloud.

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