Weekly Markets Brief | Sep 21-Sep 28, 2025

AppGear Capital

Canada — Debt, Mortgages & Markets

Key Canadian Market Indexes
Index / Yield Move Note
S&P/TSX Composite ▲ +0.4% Late-week recovery after volatility
S&P/TSX 60 ▲ +0.5% Large caps steady
Key News – Debt & Mortgages
  • Bond Yields Edge Lower: 10-year GoC around 3.30%, reflecting expectations for more BoC easing; fixed mortgage quotes nudged down.
  • Bank of Canada Outlook: Markets price at least one more cut before year-end, keeping policy rates lower for longer.
  • Household Pressure: Average mortgage payment near C$2,880 (~50% of income); easing rates should gradually bring relief.

United States – Weekly Wrap

Index / Yield Move Note
S&P 500 ▼ –0.31% Small decline
Nasdaq ▼ –0.65% Tech stocks weaker
Dow Jones ▼ –0.15% Mild drop
U.S. 10Y Treasury ▼ 4.17% Borrowing may get pricier
Macro — Clear, Quick Take
  • New Home Sales (Wed): Annual pace 800K (above forecasts) — strong housing demand despite higher rates.
  • Q2 GDP (Thu): +3.8% — economy surprisingly strong, led by consumer spending and investment.
  • Durable Goods (Thu): +2.9% in August — businesses buying more equipment, signaling firmer capital investment.
Stocks in Focus – Quick Headlines
Ticker Move Headline
ORCL ▼ –8.1% Plans up to $15B bond sale to fund cloud/AI — more debt made investors cautious.
INTC ▲ +20% Announced AI-chip collaboration with TSMC — renewed confidence in growth prospects.
Why It Matters
  • Canada: Softer GoC yields and expectations of further BoC easing are trimming funding costs and nudging fixed and variable mortgage payments lower — welcome relief as household budgets stay tight.
  • United States: Strong GDP and firmer capital spending support earnings, but tech softness and an uncertain Fed path keep markets highly data-dependent.

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