Weekly Markets Brief | Sep 28-Oct 5, 2025

AppGear Capital

Canada — Debt, Mortgages & Markets

Key Canadian Market Indexes
Index Move Quick Note
S&P/TSX Composite ▲ +1.0% Closed at an all-time high
S&P/TSX 60 ▲ +1.23% Large caps advanced, led by financials and technology
Key News – Debt & Mortgages
  • Bond yields lower: Canadian bond yields declined amid weak labor data, easing funding costs and 5-year fixed mortgage rates.
  • Unemployment up: Jobless rate rose to 7.1% in August with a loss of about 65.5K jobs (mostly part-time), increasing expectations for BoC rate cuts.

United States – Market Recap: Labor Market Weakness

Key Indexes
Index / Yield Move Note
S&P 500 ▲ +1.09% Modest gain
Nasdaq ▲ +1.32% Tech strength
Dow Jones ▲ +1.10% Broad advance
U.S. 10Y Treasury ▼ 4.12% Yields softer
Key Economic Data
  • ADP Employment Report: Decline of 32K private jobs in September vs. expected increase — signals labor market cooling, possibly leading to faster Fed rate cuts.
  • Consumer Confidence (CB): Fell to 94.2 in September after several monthly declines, indicating consumer caution amid tighter credit and rising living costs.
Stocks in Focus
Ticker Move Headline
HOOD ▲ +2.04% Boosted by subscription model focus and new product launches
JPM ▲ +0.81% Showed resilience amid market volatility and ongoing strength in banking operations
Why It Matters
  • Canada: Lower bond yields and rising unemployment are driving expectations for Bank of Canada rate cuts, supporting market highs and easing funding costs and mortgages.
  • United States: Cooling labor market data and softened yields support broad market gains, but sticky inflation and lower consumer confidence keep the Fed data-dependent, influencing direction.

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